Showing posts with label Wichita State. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Wichita State. Show all posts
Saturday, March 29, 2014
For Dayton and The Mid Majority, It's Memphis in the Meantime
You say you're gonna get your act together
Gonna take it out on the road
But if I don't get outta here pretty soon
My head's going to explode
Sure I like country music
I like mandolins
But right now I need a telecaster
Through a vibro-lux turned up to ten
Lets go to Memphis in the meantime baby
Memphis in the meantime girl
"Memphis in the Meantime" by John Hiatt
For the past ten college basketball seasons, the Mid Majority has been the definitive mid major college basketball site. The brainchild of Kyle Whelliston, the Mid Majority has chronicled the mid major college basketball teams that take up the majority of the 351 Division I College Basketball teams. Over these past ten seasons, we have learned so much about the fabric of these mid major schools, the small towns that often comprise these schools and even the famous arenas that have a haunting quality to it.
For seven of those seasons, Kyle did the writing and traveling across the country. His writing was beautiful, insightful, historical and even gave mid major college basketball a sense of tragedy. Every season ends in a loss, at least in the case of the mid major team. There was hope with the two Butler National Championship game teams. But both Bulldogs' teams came up valiantly short against Duke and UConn.
Due to the constant grind of the road, Kyle took a permanent break from writing. Season Eight of the Mid Majority was the 800 Games Project, where a group of writers would get together and the goal was to write 800 story recaps of mid major team games. I was one of those writers and we made it, writing 809 different game recaps and over 900 stories total. It also gave me a chance to bond with my older son, Matthew, who went to thirty three of the fifty eight mid major games I covered (yes, one recap didn't make it in. It was still fifty eight).
In fact, the three top writers as far as number of recaps; Matt Cayeula, Ian McCormick and I, all now live in South Carolina. We got together for a brief reunion at the Big South Championship.
Season Nine was a contest involving teams of writers and if we hadn't learned from Season Eight, Season Nine taught us that Ray Curren is one hell of a writer, along with being an ironman covering games. Season Ten has featured mostly Curren's terrific articles, along with the solid work of Kraig Williams and Matt Konrad.
As we entered the 2014 NCAA Tournament, for the first time since Indiana State was a #1 seed in 1979, there was a true hope that a mid major team would finally break through that glass ceiling and win a National Championship. This time, the mid major team was not an underdog, but a proverbial favorite. Wichita State, a Final Four team from last season, went through the non conference season, the Missouri Valley Conference regular season and the Missouri Valley Tournament undefeated. The Shockers stood at 34-0 entering the NCAA Tournament and earned a #1 seed in the Midwest.
But this season, the NCAA Selection Committee, led by Ron Wellman, a man so notorious in the college basketball world that Wake Forest fans created a now well known site to voice their displeasure about their basketball team, decided to stack the deck on Wichita State's bracket. In fact, I wrote about Wellman's incredibly bad decision to fire Dino Gaudio long before the BuzzOut website appeared.
Well, Wellman and friends made the Midwest the toughest bracket in the tournament, as it featured three of the Final Four teams from last season; Wichita State, Michigan, last year's national runner-up and Louisville, the defending National Champion and who was currently the #5 team in the nation as a four seed, which boggled the minds of many, including Rick Pitino. The cherry on top was making Kentucky, the preseason #1 team and a Top 25 team for most of the season, an eight seed. Several basketball media pundits nicknamed the Midwest Region "The Group of Death", which is known in World Cup seeding terms as the toughest bracket.
After crushing Cal Poly in the second round, the Shockers met the Wildcats in the third round of the NCAA Tournament. And in what many thought was a Final Four quality game, the Wildcats barely defeated the Shockers 78-76 in a truly terrific contest. Both teams hit shot fifty four percent or higher and each team hit twenty seven field goals (it came down to a couple of more free throws on Kentucky's part). The outcome was heartbreaking to those mid major fans who had hoped Wichita State would be "THE Mid Major Team".
But in an unusual case of irony, one mid major school is still left in the tournament. That mid major school is part of the core, the very fabric of the Mid-Majority.
Dayton.
Dayton has hosted the Play In Game(s), or PIG as called by Mid Majority, since 2001 when the NCAA decided to keep the thirty four at large berths for the Men's Tournament after the Mountain West was formed (unlike the Women's Tournament, where they cut it down to thirty three). Dayton now hosts the First Four, the first four games of the NCAA Tournament, since it is now sixty eight teams.
Dayton fans have long supported their hometown school Flyers, but they have supported the PIG and now the First Four as well in droves. In fact, the South Park Tavern has long been the host of the Mid Majority Pig Party. I had a chance to have dinner there when I went to see Hofstra played Wright State in a nationally televised 2011 BracketBuster game. The cheeseburger pizza is really good.
I wrote about Dayton in "The Road to Wright State", in which I talked about how the economy has hurt this proud city. When I visited the absolutely awesome United States Air Force Museum in Dayton, I met a volunteer staff member there named Jeffery. He talked about companies have moved out of the area and that GM had recently shut a truck plant down. Jeffery was worried that Dayton would become "unpopulated".
I have never gone to a Dayton game or been in Dayton's arena. But the nearby Wright State fans at the Nutter Center were very friendly to me that day, despite being a Hofstra fan. You can see the people in Dayton take great pride in their college basketball and I can only imagine what it is like at a game at Dayton Arena.
Based on having watched the Flyers over the past seasons, as well as the musings of my friend and Dayton grad, Julia Prior, the Flyers have been known to break hearts the last few seasons. Under former head coach Brian Gregory (now at Georgia Tech) and current coach Archie Miller, the Flyers would start out strong in the beginning of the season, then seemingly self destruct on its own, especially in the closing minutes of crucial games.
The past few seasons showed that. The 2012-13 team started the season 10-4, but would go 7-10 the rest of the way. The 2011-12 team started 14-5 overall, including 4-1 in the A-10. The 2011-12 Flyers had won the Old Spice Classic and even knocked off nationally ranked Alabama. But those Flyers would lose four straight games, finish only 9-7 in conference and then lose a heart-breaker 70-69 to arch-rival Xavier in the A-10 tournament. In that game, the Flyers were up ten at the half, only to lose on a jumper with 21 seconds left.
The Flyers started this season 12-3, including wins over nationally ranked #11 Gonzaga, California, Georgia Tech and Iona, They also lost a tough one to Baylor in the Old Spice Classic by a point, but finished third in the Tournament when they beat the Bears. You could see the team is talented with Jordan Siebert, Devin Oliver, Dyshawn Pierre and Bill Raferty's favorite, Scootchie Smith. I saw several of their games on TV early in the season, including the entire Old Spice Tournament. They went ten deep, pressed like anything and collectively, they can bury lots of three pointers.
But given their team's past history, Dayton fans must have been waiting for the other shoe to drop come A-10 conference season.
It did.
The Flyers started the A-10 conference season 1-5, with their lone win over lowly Fordham. It looked like once again, a talented Flyers team would come up short of their goals.
But not this time.
The Flyers would win nine of their final ten Atlantic 10 Conference games, including wins over George Washington, St Joseph's, UMass and St. Louis. They would win their first round game over Fordham. With twenty three wins overall and their solid non conference schedule wins, all they needed was to get to the A-10 Semifinals at the Barclays' Center and they were likely in the NCAA Tournament.
But Dayton would lose a heartbreaker to the eventual A-10 Tourney Champions, St Joseph's 70-67.
Come Selection Sunday, Flyers' fans were likely nervous, wondering if they would be the sixth A-10 team in the tournament. St Joe's had the automatic bid. St Louis, VCU and UMass were locks, given they were all nationally ranked for part of the season. George Washington, given their record and standing, was also a likely team in the Tournament (and they did make it as a #9 seed).
Dayton did make it, getting an eleven seed and a first round game against intrastate rival Ohio State, a team that has been "avoiding" the Flyers for a long time. Don't ever say the Selection Committee doesn't have a twisted sense of humor or irony.
Still many pundits and coaches didn't think Dayton deserved to make it. Coach K stated "I’ll get in trouble probably for saying it. Like the Atlantic 10, they’re a really good conference. I hear people saying there are six teams in there. Come on. I mean, they’re good, but put them in our conference and go through the meat grinder that our conference has to go through."
Meat grinder would become a popular sarcastic Twitter reference for Duke's quick tournament exit at the hands of Mercer and the ACC's performance in the tournament overall.
I don't do brackets on my own anymore. But I have a dear friend who asks me to do her bracket the past couple of years and I can't say no. So in her bracket this season, I picked Dayton to go to the Sweet 16.
Yes, I picked them to beat Ohio State and then their likely next opponent Syracuse.
I just thought the Flyers were more than talented and quick enough to beat both teams. Plus I thought Dayton could shoot over Syracuse's zone.
Sure enough, the Flyers beat the Buckeyes 60-59 in the first round on a last second layup by Vee Sanford (cue some Sanford and Son music). Then despite a low scoring first half, Dayton held Syracuse without a three pointer for the entire contest. Despite the vaunted, Orange Zone, the Flyers would go seven from sixteen from beyond the arc and defeat Syracuse 55-53. Dayton had just beat one of Coach K's meat grinder ACC teams.
For the first time since 1984, the Flyers were in the Sweet 16. They were the last Mid Major team in the field. And all of the Mid Majority's fans, like Julia Prior, so proud of their accomplishment, put their hopes on them.
The Flyers now faced the Cardinal of Stanford, another double digit seed, at the FedEx Forum in Memphis. The fact that the Flyers, the team that represents the very core of the Mid Majority and the PIG, was not lost on a certain someone.
Kyle has gone to Memphis and wrote a Mid Majority article about Dayton.
The Flyers received their nickname from the plane the Wright Brothers successfully built and flew in 1905. Much like this team, the Wright Brothers didn't give up, the Flyer was third iteration of their prototype plane.
And sure enough, on Thursday night, many pundits thought Stanford's size, which had allowed the Cardinal to upset both New Mexico and Kansas, would be too much for the Flyers. But the Flyers' didn't give up. It turned out to be Dayton's pressure, speed and depth that was too much for Stanford as the Flyers impressively handled the Cardinal 82-72.
So for the first time since 1984, the Dayton Flyers are in the Elite Eight. And with the win, Julia Prior booked a trip to Memphis to see her beloved Flyers play for the chance to make the Final Four. Their task is now their most daunting one; defeat the #1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament, the Florida Gators. Nate Silver, he of the famous Five Thirty Eight site and his 2012 Presidential prognostications, gives Dayton a one percent chance of winning the NCAA Championship.
My guess is back in 1905, people observing the Wright Brothers probably gave them a one percent chance of getting a plane to fly.
We all know what happened.
Maybe it's poetic that the team that could possibly break the Mid Major National Championship glass ceiling is named the Flyers, a team that can fly through that glass ceiling. It would be a fitting end to ten seasons of the Mid Majority. The season ending without a loss, but a victory.
But the task, as noted, is a daunting one. The Flyers must beat the Gators, then win two more games against equally as tough competition that Florida will provide later today. But then again, very few thought that Dayton would beat Ohio State, Syracuse or even Stanford. The Flyers have broke a lot of brackets.
The Wright Brothers broke a glass ceiling over hundred years ago. Maybe it's time another Flyer breaks another one.
Go Dayton Flyers!
Saturday, March 1, 2014
Miscellaneous Thoughts on Iona/Manhattan, Siena, Wichita State, Duquesne and Fordham
If you're a college basketball fan and you didn't watch Iona/Manhattan on ESPN2 last night, you missed an absolutely terrific game between two long time MAAC rivals. The Jaspers won in overtime 80-77. It was exciting, action packed, end to end, three point drilling (on Iona's side), small gym, capacity, loud crowd fun. You could hear the crowd loud and clear on your TV.
One last MAAC note. With Cluess, Steve Masiello, Patsos and Jimmy Baron, the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference has become a premier coaching conference. MAACTION!
Having been at Draddy for Iona vs. Manhattan previously for a SRO crowd between these two rivals, I can tell you how intense the Gaels-Jaspers rivalry is from a spectator's standpoint. And if you don't think this is a hot ticket, two years ago, tickets for the Iona- Manhattan game were going for $100, which is usually unheard of in NYC mid major basketball. Jaden Daly of Daly Dose of Hoops was there last night and here's his writeup.
It's quite possible that Iona and Manhattan will face each other again in the MAAC Tournament. Despite the loss, Iona has clinched the MAAC regular season championship and the #1 seed for the MAAC Tournament. Manhattan is tied for second with both Quinnipiac and Canisius. The Jaspers host the Golden Griffiths on Sunday for at least third place.
Oh, one last thing. If Iona wins at home over Rider on Sunday, it will be the fourth time in the four seasons Tim Cluess has coached in New Rochelle that the Gaels have won twenty games. Four years ago, I gave a New York metro college advice on who to take as their head coach. Iona took the advice instead and two NCAA Tournament later, with a possible third on the horizon, the Gaels must be quite happy with the decision.
Speaking of MAAC coaches, how about the job Jimmy Patsos is doing with Siena. The Saints are now over .500 in the MAAC at 10-9 and with a win over Monmouth, will be the fifth seed in the MAAC Tournament. Siena has already won six more games than all of last season and six more games in conference from last season as well. Not surprising, given Patsos' history of success with Loyola Maryland.
One last MAAC note. With Cluess, Steve Masiello, Patsos and Jimmy Baron, the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference has become a premier coaching conference. MAACTION!
Wichita State has been getting a lot of flack lately on whether they are a #1 seed for the NCAA Tournament . Several basketball "pundits" have questioned their non conference schedule (Yes, Jeff Goodman of ESPN, I am talking about you in particular). Mark Adams, ESPN analyst, put this into excellent perspective on Twitter by stating that the eight power conference teams ranked in the top ten played eighty six percent of their non-conference games at either neutral site or home. As I pointed out to Mark in a reply, I noted Wichita State only played seven of its twelve non-conference games at home (two were neutral site). Saint Louis, the other non power conference team in the top ten played only six of its eleven games at home (two were also neutral site).
Furthermore, compare Wichita State's team to the last Missouri Valley team that went so far into the season undefeated, the 1978-79 Indiana State team. That team of course was led by Larry Bird and went to the NCAA Championship game undefeated vs. Michigan State before losing to Magic Johnson and the Spartans.
That 78-79 Sycamores team only played one NCAA Tournament team during the regular season, New Mexico State, which Indiana State beat twice in that season in conference. In fact, the Sycamores had to have a 50 foot shot by Bob Heaton to force overtime on the road vs. the Aggies. New Mexico State ended up getting an at large bid, losing to Weber State in a first round game. At that time, only forty teams made the NCAA Tournament.
Despite their lack of a signature non-conference win, Indiana State received a #1 seed. Perhaps having Bird helped their chances of getting a #1 seed. Still, Indiana State justified their seeding by making the NCAA Championship game.
This season, Wichita State has played two definite NCAA Tournament teams in their non conference; BYU and currently #10 Saint Louis. The neutral site win over the Cougars was the championship game of the CBE classic and the win over SLU came on the Billikens home court. Until their loss at home to Duquesne this week, Saint Louis had been undefeated in Atlantic-10 play, which is quite impressive considering there is a very good chance that there will be five A-10 teams in the NCAA Tournament (SLU, VCU, UMass, George Washington and St Joseph's).
Wichita State has also won over bubble team Tennessee, along with wins over Davidson, the Southern Conference regular season champion, who knocked off the current #2 team in the SEC, Georgia and NC Central, who won at North Carolina State and who at 22-5 and 13-1 in the MEAC, is the likely MEAC regular season champion (the Eagles have a two game lead over Hampton). Throw in the fact that with basically the same team from last year's Final Four team, if the Shockers can make it through the rest of the Valley regular season and the MVC Tournament undefeated, they should definitely be a #1 seed and have serious consideration as the #1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament.
Gregg Marshall is my coach of the year (and Jaden Daly, I knew about Marshall for years even before his Winthrop team knocked off Notre Dame).
Gregg Marshall is my coach of the year (and Jaden Daly, I knew about Marshall for years even before his Winthrop team knocked off Notre Dame).
On Thursday night, I watched on TV two bottom A-10 teams play, Fordham and Duquesne. Both teams played good first halves against their respective opponents, VCU and St Louis, as I noted, two definite NCAA Tournament teams. In their respective second halves, only one team maintained their composure and heart. The road team Dukes withstood the Billikens and gave St Louis their first loss in A-10 play.
Duquesne at one time was tied with Fordham in the A-10 standings. Yet, Jim Ferry's 12-15 team has not given up and won two of its last four games. Of their four conference wins, three of those are on the road, including a win over the Rams. The Dukes have lost fifteen games on the season, nine of those fifteen losses have been by nine points or less, including six A-10 conference games. Duquesne's scoring margin on the season is - 0.3. You can certainly say the Dukes have been competitive for the most part this season.
I'm not surprised by Ferry's Dukes playing so hard. His successful LIU teams were high scoring, yet very gutty. I was there when the Blackbirds won over Wagner at a hostile, sold out Spiro Center two years ago in what was quite possibly, given the game was on ESPNU on a Saturday night, the biggest regular season game in the history of the NEC (see picture of the game on the left).
Ferry's LIU teams made the NCAA Tournament two years in a row before he took the Duquesne job. Already the Dukes have a four win improvement from last season. Given his ability to recruit nationally (several of his LIU players came from Texas), Duquesne is in good hands.
Meanwhile, VCU went on an early second half run and Fordham looked like they got run over by a truck. They looked clueless on defense, showed no fundamentals on boxing out as VCU got offensive rebound after offensive rebound (in fact VCU had twenty four offensive rebounds) and basically showed no heart the last twenty minutes of the game. VCU scored FIFTY ONE second half points beating Fordham 85-66. One team looked Ram Tough and another looked Rammed.
Then to top it, Fordham Coach Tom Pecora just torched his team's effort after the loss, as per another great Jaden Daly writeup. Yet not anywhere in the post game press conference notes does Pecora accept any blame for his team's failures that night. He even notes that "Teams that win find ways to win, teams that lose, they know how to lose".
Well who's responsibility is for that demeanor and play? It's the coach.
I have already written about Fordham's struggles this season, in fact, it's been my most read article of the season, and taken Pecora to task. So yes, it's like beating a dead horse. But after his VCU post game press conference comments, the dead horse needs to beaten some more.
Fordham has lost five straight games, all by double digit margins. In their last nine A-10 conference losses on the season , the Rams have lost each game by double digits and by an average margin of NINETEEN POINTS. In fact, in Fordham's seventeen losses on the season, thirteen have now come by double digit margins.
Think about that. In only four of their seventeen losses was Fordham even close to winning.
And even the defensive intensity that Pecora's Hofstra teams used to have is now gone. He now goes with a four guard lineup, yet laments that "You can't let them beat you up on the offensive glass". The Rams are DEAD LAST in the A-10 in scoring defense, allowing seventy nine points per game. They are also dead last in field goal percentage defense, allowing teams to shoot forty six percent from the field. The Rams also allow teams to score fifty two percent of their two point field goal attempts.
I think this last quote about Pecora when there is a question about his team's effort sums it up best
"Oh, without a doubt, and I think that's been an issue for us throughout the season. There's been two major issues in my mind: One is getting that kind of team effort for 40 minutes consistently..."That comes down to one person and one person only. The coach.
Labels:
Duquesne,
Fordham,
Gregg Marshall,
Iona,
Jim Ferry,
Jimmy Patsos,
MAAC,
Manhattan,
Missouri Valley,
MVC,
Steve Masiello,
Tim Cluess,
Tom Pecora,
Wichita State
Thursday, November 29, 2012
New Weekly Segment - Four on the Floor
November has not fully passed yet and already a lot has happened. On average, teams have played six to seven games. But based on that sample, we can tell that Indiana, Gonzaga and Michigan will be a handful. Duke is still Duke after winning the Battle for Atlantis, then beating Ohio State last night. UCLA is already in trouble, despite being 4-2 (?). Frank Martin is in full force, giving death stares and leading South Carolina to already as half as many wins, five, as last season . VCU is the best 3-3 team in the country. Finally, Doug McDermott is rightfully getting Player of the Year consideration, despite Creighton losing at home to Boise State last night.
This is the start of a new weekly segment called "Four on the Floor", where we take a brief look at four good teams, whether they are doing well, or in the case this week of Drexel,surprisingly struggling. The four teams will most likely be teams that aren't getting a lot of national press. But that's what we do here at the College Hardwood - Champion the Underdog.
Drexel Struggles - The Dragons, the hands down favorite to win the CAA this season, lost four of their first five games before salvaging seventh place in the Anaheim Classic by beating Rice. Frantz Massenat struggled through his first four games before rebounding against Xavier and Rice. And yes the loss of Samme Givens has hurt them. As Brian Mull noted to me in a recent Twitter discussion, it's hard to replace someone who required a double team to defend him in the paint.
But the main reason for Drexel being 2-4 is their defense. Last season, the Dragons led the CAA in field goal percentage defense at 39 percent. They only allowed three teams all last season to shoot fifty percent or more from the field - Fairfield, William and Mary and UMass (they were 2-1 in those games). Drexel has already allowed this season three teams to shoot fifty percent or more - Kent State, St Mary's and Xavier (all losses).
The Dragons are amazingly 274th in the country in two point field goal percentage defense at 51.9 percent. Last season, they were 33rd in the country at 43.8 percent. They are also ranked at #330 in the country in steal percentage at 6.2. If you're not creating turnovers and allowing opponents to shoot 52 percent from inside the arc, it's hard to win games. Considering Drexel's long standing history under Bruiser Flint of being a good defensive team, there is time to turn this around. Count on Bruiser to fix this.
The Mighty Bison - Bucknell is off to an impressive 6-1 start. What makes it even more impressive is that four of their six wins have come on the road or in neutral site games, including beating Purdue at West Lafayette. Their only blemish is a three point loss at Penn State.
But this shouldn't be a surprise. The Bison won twenty five games last season, including a first round NIT upset at Arizona. And the statistics show how bullish you should be on Bucknell. The Bison are 45th in Pomeroy's rankings. They are 40th in the country in offensive turnover percentage, 46th in effective field goal percentage defense and 45th in offensive rebound defense percentage. Basically put, Bucknell doesn't turn the ball over, plays good defense and limits opponents' second chance opportunities.
Finally this is a balanced, veteran team. They return four of their top five leading scorers from last season, three of whom are averaging double figures. The fourth leading scorer, Joe Willman, averaged double figures in scoring last season. Mike Muscala averages a double double with sixteen points and eleven rebounds per game. Once again, it will come down to Lehigh and Bucknell in the Patriot.
The Elecrifying Shockers - Wichita State continues to be one of the best teams in the country, but gets no love in the Top 25 rankings. They win at VCU. Then the Shockers defeat DePaul and Iowa to win the Cancun Challenge. Where's the love?
The love is right here. The Shockers are statistically right up there in many defensive categories. Eleventh in the country in two point FG percentage defense at 36%, #12 in block percentage defense at 17.4% and #32 in the country in effective field goal percentage defense. And they clean up the offensive glass too, #31 in the country in offensive rebound percentage at 40.1%.
Gregg Marshall has a deep and balanced team. Nine players average about twelve minutes or more per game, with another two players averaging eight minutes. The Shockers only have two players averaging in double figure scoring, yet the team averages seventy points per game. Cleananthony Early and Carl Hall combine for twenty seven points and fourteen rebounds per game. Wichita State should be 9-0 when they play at Tennessee on December 13.
Way To Go O-hio - The Bobcats are the highest ranked Ken Pomeroy team featured here this week at #31. They are undefeated at 6-0 after rallying to defeat St. Bonaventure at home last night. Their average margin of victory is over twenty one points. Ohio is trying their best to show everyone that last year's Sweet 16 team was no fluke.
The statistics show they are no fluke, especially when it comes to defense. The Bobcats lead the country currently in defensive turnover percentage at thirty two percent and are second in the country in steal percentage at eighteen percent. They are also pretty efficient on offense as they are ninth in the country in effective field goal percentage at 57.8 percent, thirteenth in the country in two point field goal percentage at 56.6 percent and twenty eighth in the country in three point field goal percentage at 39.8 percent.
Basically the Bobcats make you turn the ball over and then pay for it on the offensive end. They average four players in double figures scoring. Senior D.J. Cooper is a one man stat machine. He averages fourteen points, nearly seven assists and nearly three steals per game. Nick Kellogg, Clark Kellogg's son, shoots fifty percent from beyond the arc, averaging two three pointers per game.
Finally, this is a deep Bobcats team, as nine players average more than ten minutes per game. If there is only one slight concern, it's that Ohio has not played a road game yet this season. That will change as their next two games are good road tests - at Robert Morris, then at Memphis. This veteran team that won twenty nine games last season has a pressure defense game that should translate well away from home. Just ask Michigan and South Florida.
This is the start of a new weekly segment called "Four on the Floor", where we take a brief look at four good teams, whether they are doing well, or in the case this week of Drexel,surprisingly struggling. The four teams will most likely be teams that aren't getting a lot of national press. But that's what we do here at the College Hardwood - Champion the Underdog.
Drexel Struggles - The Dragons, the hands down favorite to win the CAA this season, lost four of their first five games before salvaging seventh place in the Anaheim Classic by beating Rice. Frantz Massenat struggled through his first four games before rebounding against Xavier and Rice. And yes the loss of Samme Givens has hurt them. As Brian Mull noted to me in a recent Twitter discussion, it's hard to replace someone who required a double team to defend him in the paint.
But the main reason for Drexel being 2-4 is their defense. Last season, the Dragons led the CAA in field goal percentage defense at 39 percent. They only allowed three teams all last season to shoot fifty percent or more from the field - Fairfield, William and Mary and UMass (they were 2-1 in those games). Drexel has already allowed this season three teams to shoot fifty percent or more - Kent State, St Mary's and Xavier (all losses).
The Dragons are amazingly 274th in the country in two point field goal percentage defense at 51.9 percent. Last season, they were 33rd in the country at 43.8 percent. They are also ranked at #330 in the country in steal percentage at 6.2. If you're not creating turnovers and allowing opponents to shoot 52 percent from inside the arc, it's hard to win games. Considering Drexel's long standing history under Bruiser Flint of being a good defensive team, there is time to turn this around. Count on Bruiser to fix this.
The Mighty Bison - Bucknell is off to an impressive 6-1 start. What makes it even more impressive is that four of their six wins have come on the road or in neutral site games, including beating Purdue at West Lafayette. Their only blemish is a three point loss at Penn State.
But this shouldn't be a surprise. The Bison won twenty five games last season, including a first round NIT upset at Arizona. And the statistics show how bullish you should be on Bucknell. The Bison are 45th in Pomeroy's rankings. They are 40th in the country in offensive turnover percentage, 46th in effective field goal percentage defense and 45th in offensive rebound defense percentage. Basically put, Bucknell doesn't turn the ball over, plays good defense and limits opponents' second chance opportunities.
Finally this is a balanced, veteran team. They return four of their top five leading scorers from last season, three of whom are averaging double figures. The fourth leading scorer, Joe Willman, averaged double figures in scoring last season. Mike Muscala averages a double double with sixteen points and eleven rebounds per game. Once again, it will come down to Lehigh and Bucknell in the Patriot.
The Elecrifying Shockers - Wichita State continues to be one of the best teams in the country, but gets no love in the Top 25 rankings. They win at VCU. Then the Shockers defeat DePaul and Iowa to win the Cancun Challenge. Where's the love?
The love is right here. The Shockers are statistically right up there in many defensive categories. Eleventh in the country in two point FG percentage defense at 36%, #12 in block percentage defense at 17.4% and #32 in the country in effective field goal percentage defense. And they clean up the offensive glass too, #31 in the country in offensive rebound percentage at 40.1%.
Gregg Marshall has a deep and balanced team. Nine players average about twelve minutes or more per game, with another two players averaging eight minutes. The Shockers only have two players averaging in double figure scoring, yet the team averages seventy points per game. Cleananthony Early and Carl Hall combine for twenty seven points and fourteen rebounds per game. Wichita State should be 9-0 when they play at Tennessee on December 13.
Way To Go O-hio - The Bobcats are the highest ranked Ken Pomeroy team featured here this week at #31. They are undefeated at 6-0 after rallying to defeat St. Bonaventure at home last night. Their average margin of victory is over twenty one points. Ohio is trying their best to show everyone that last year's Sweet 16 team was no fluke.
The statistics show they are no fluke, especially when it comes to defense. The Bobcats lead the country currently in defensive turnover percentage at thirty two percent and are second in the country in steal percentage at eighteen percent. They are also pretty efficient on offense as they are ninth in the country in effective field goal percentage at 57.8 percent, thirteenth in the country in two point field goal percentage at 56.6 percent and twenty eighth in the country in three point field goal percentage at 39.8 percent.
Basically the Bobcats make you turn the ball over and then pay for it on the offensive end. They average four players in double figures scoring. Senior D.J. Cooper is a one man stat machine. He averages fourteen points, nearly seven assists and nearly three steals per game. Nick Kellogg, Clark Kellogg's son, shoots fifty percent from beyond the arc, averaging two three pointers per game.
Finally, this is a deep Bobcats team, as nine players average more than ten minutes per game. If there is only one slight concern, it's that Ohio has not played a road game yet this season. That will change as their next two games are good road tests - at Robert Morris, then at Memphis. This veteran team that won twenty nine games last season has a pressure defense game that should translate well away from home. Just ask Michigan and South Florida.
Thursday, March 15, 2012
Get Ready For VCU Today
As VCU prepares to play Wichita State tonight in a second round NCAA Tournament game/BracketBuster rematch from last season, prepare yourself with a little bit of background on the Rams. Here are links to four of my game stories on VCU, including two games from the exciting CAA Tournament. Enjoy and good luck to VCU.
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Monday, January 30, 2012
Too Many Good Home Teams Spoil the BracketBusters
Later today is the announcement of the thirteen televised BracketBuster games. As I noted in a post last October, like them or not, the BracketBusters have made a difference for mid major teams. You can make a strong case that neither George Mason or VCU would have made the NCAA Tournament in 2006 or 2011 had it not been for their road BracketBuster victories over Wichita State.
This year, the BracketBusters have more teams than last year (142 compared to 111 last year). The problem with the BracketBusters is that occasionally that depending on the schedule you have too many good home teams as opposed to road teams. That was the case in 2006, and it is the case again this season.
Below are a list of what I think are the top teams that are home teams and the top teams that are road teams for the BracketBuster games
Definite Televised Game Home Teams - Murray State, Creighton, VCU, George Mason, Davidson, Oral Roberts, Iona, Weber State, Ohio, Cleveland State.
Home Teams in the Televised Game Mix - Loyola Maryland, South Dakota State, Montana, Manhattan, Charleston Southern, Coastal Carolina, Kent State, Georgia State, Illinois State.
Definite Televised Game Road Teams - St Mary's, Wichita State, Long Beach State, Akron, Drexel, Nevada, ODU, UNC Asheville, Texas Arlington, Stony Brook.
Road Teams in the Mix - Valparaiso, Buffalo, Wofford, UTSA, Drake.
As you can see from above, there is much more depth in the home teams than the road teams. In fact with the "definite televised game home teams" you have nine teams that lead their conferences. Only VCU is not in first place in their conference; they are tied for second with Drexel. But the Rams are a no brainer after making the Final Four last season, plus they have strong KenPom and RPI numbers. Had Butler not imploded in the last few weeks, they would have been a televised game as well due to their history.
Now look at the road teams. Only seven of the teams lead their conferences. There are also very few road teams with solid resumes. Three of the five should get a televised game. Compare that with the home teams in the mix. Only three of the nine will get a televised game.
If I was a betting man, my guess is that of the home teams in the mix, South Dakota State and Loyola Maryland will get televised games. That will leave one home team spot available. As for road teams, I am going to say they take the second Horizon team, Valparaiso, another MAC team, Buffalo, and Wofford, since Wofford made the NCAA Tournament last year.
I think the definite game is St Mary's vs. Creighton. The games that I see are likely are Wichita State vs. Murray State, Long Beach State vs.VCU, Akron vs. George Mason, Nevada vs. Oral Roberts and Drexel vs. Iona. We'll see come later tonight.
But here's what I would do to fix the BracketBusters in the future.
Remember, a little exposure is better than no exposure at all.
This year, the BracketBusters have more teams than last year (142 compared to 111 last year). The problem with the BracketBusters is that occasionally that depending on the schedule you have too many good home teams as opposed to road teams. That was the case in 2006, and it is the case again this season.
Below are a list of what I think are the top teams that are home teams and the top teams that are road teams for the BracketBuster games
Definite Televised Game Home Teams - Murray State, Creighton, VCU, George Mason, Davidson, Oral Roberts, Iona, Weber State, Ohio, Cleveland State.
Home Teams in the Televised Game Mix - Loyola Maryland, South Dakota State, Montana, Manhattan, Charleston Southern, Coastal Carolina, Kent State, Georgia State, Illinois State.
Definite Televised Game Road Teams - St Mary's, Wichita State, Long Beach State, Akron, Drexel, Nevada, ODU, UNC Asheville, Texas Arlington, Stony Brook.
Road Teams in the Mix - Valparaiso, Buffalo, Wofford, UTSA, Drake.
As you can see from above, there is much more depth in the home teams than the road teams. In fact with the "definite televised game home teams" you have nine teams that lead their conferences. Only VCU is not in first place in their conference; they are tied for second with Drexel. But the Rams are a no brainer after making the Final Four last season, plus they have strong KenPom and RPI numbers. Had Butler not imploded in the last few weeks, they would have been a televised game as well due to their history.
Now look at the road teams. Only seven of the teams lead their conferences. There are also very few road teams with solid resumes. Three of the five should get a televised game. Compare that with the home teams in the mix. Only three of the nine will get a televised game.
If I was a betting man, my guess is that of the home teams in the mix, South Dakota State and Loyola Maryland will get televised games. That will leave one home team spot available. As for road teams, I am going to say they take the second Horizon team, Valparaiso, another MAC team, Buffalo, and Wofford, since Wofford made the NCAA Tournament last year.
I think the definite game is St Mary's vs. Creighton. The games that I see are likely are Wichita State vs. Murray State, Long Beach State vs.VCU, Akron vs. George Mason, Nevada vs. Oral Roberts and Drexel vs. Iona. We'll see come later tonight.
But here's what I would do to fix the BracketBusters in the future.
- Get rid of the home and home requirement of the BracketBusters. Teams that are selected to play each other are supposed to schedule a game on the other's home court in the next season or two. Well, some teams aren't thrilled with that idea, especially East Coast or West Coast teams that will have to schedule a return game and travel across country. Rumor has it that Iona is balking at the notion of hosting Long Beach State because they will have to travel to California for the return game. Get rid of it and just make it a one time game.
- Have all the teams reserve their home gym the third weekend of February. This way, you can guarantee the best games and not have to worry about too many home teams or too many road teams. For teams that say "Well we could travel across the country to play in a BracketBuster game and it could affect our conferenc play the week after." As Colonel Potter on MASH used to say "Horse Hockey!" These teams want to make the NCAA Tournament. It's very possible if they make the NCAA Tournament they could be sent all the way to the west coast or vice versa to the east coast. Best to get used to it now.
Remember, a little exposure is better than no exposure at all.
Labels:
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